Analyst Grigory Golosov On Zhirinovsky And Why He Runs
He doesn't try or expect to win, Golosov says on polit.ru:
"Zhirinovsky participates in presidential elections in order to strengthen his perception in the public mind for the next time his party is in the Duma elections. He is a Duma politician and hasn't been serious about the presidency for a very long time, if he ever was."
"Moreover, it must be understood that the LDPR is a business enterprise controlled by Zhirinovsky, and refusing to participate in presidential elections would weaken his control over the party. At least, it would mean that other party members would start thinking there could be another candidate. Once Zhirinovsky experimented along these lines with [Oleg] Malyshkin, if you recall. But that was because of extraordinary circumstances and everyone understood that Malyshkin was not a serious candidate. Now there are no extraordinary circumstances so Zhirinovsky is participating in this election himself."
"Zhirinovsky is an ideal candidate for authoritarian elections. Ideal in the sense that he will get some votes, but they will definitely not be very many. Essentially, all the candidates in this election fit into this category, but Zhirinovsky is ideal. He won't fall below a certain minimum, but he also has a 'ceiling.'"
Blogger describes how Yavlinsky collected signatures
Interesting read. Navalny has said he doesn't believe Yavlinsky has enough party infrastructure to collect 105,000 signatures and probably only got about 60 percent of that figure.
But Aleksei Sadomovsky is a Yavlinsky activist in Nizhny Novgorod Oblast, and he details how they collected the signatures. Using their established database, he says, they assembled 3,027 signature collectors across the country, meaning that each one had to collect 35 signatures. Gives details on how they checked the signatures. Says they submitted signatures from 81 regions, an average of 1,297 per region.
"Organizing the collection of signatures on the basis of experienced working branches in the regions with their own teams and supporters is much easier than starting from zero."
Novaya Gazeta Asks Experts Why Navalny Is Questioning Candidate Signatures
Novaya Gazeta, a beacon in Russia's bleak media landscape, asks experts to explain why Aleksei Navalny is questioning the authenticity of the signatures collected by candidates in Russia's upcoming election, including the perennial candidate and liberal Grigory Yavlinsky. Dmitry Oreshkin questions Navalny attacking some of those who would seem allies in Russia's liberal camp.
Political analyst Aleksandr Kynev asks: "Who will reach the second round against Sobchak: Suraikin or Baburin?"
Novaya Gazeta suggests that Putin, who's visiting Krasnoyarsk today for what looks a lot like a campaign visit, is more concerned with preparations for the Winter Universiade sports competition scheduled to take place there next year.
'It Was Minus-16, So Not Too Cold'
Russian passengers are blaming Putin's Krasnoyarsk visit for keeping them in a cold plane on the frozen tarmac in -16C weather for "two hours," says our Russian Service. Passengers say the doors were left open but the shades were lowered.
Ex-Economy Minister Yasin Takes Questions
Yevgeny Yasin, an economist and Yeltsin-era economy minister, will talk to our Russian Service and take questions (in Russian) later today. Details HERE or check the Radio Svoboda Facebook page.
- By Mike Eckel
Grudinin Bets Dud: If I Get Less Than 15 Percent Of Vote, I'll Shave My Moustache
Putin’s popularity notwithstanding, Pavel Grudinin, the Communist Party’s mustachioed presidential candidate, is confident of a strong showing in next month’s election. In fact, he’s so confident he’s bet his facial hair on it.
In an interview this week, viral video blogger Yury Dud suggests that Grudinin isn’t likely to get more than 10 percent of the vote: “Let’s come up with something to make this all a little bit more amusing, if such a result ends up happening. You ready to shave your moustache?”
Grudinin replies, “If we get that result, I’ll be upset because, in my view, we’ll end up with a much higher result. If we get, say, right away, 60 percent, I will consider that to be fair. But I won’t shave off my moustache.”
Asked why, Grudinin replies, “It doesn’t make any sense. I’ve had a moustache my entire life, so why change now?”
The Communist candidate then goes on and asks Dud, “But if I get 15 percent, would you shave your head?”
Dud: “15? No, but I’m ready for a bet.”
Grudinin: “What if I get more than 15?”
Dud: “Stop, Stop. Stop. Look, I'm ready for the following: If you get more than 15 percent, I’ll go bald. If you get less than 15, you shave your moustache. In this case, I’m ready to play.”
Grudinin smiles and shakes his hand as Dud continues: “You mean, no one has ever seen you without moustache?” Grudinin shakes his head no and then turns to the camera, “You ever seen him bald? Well, you will soon..."
- By Mike Eckel
Russian Activists Plan Boycotts, Protests At U.S. Locations
The Russian government is planning to organize early, and same-day, voting around the world for expatriates, including in the United States.
But opposition activists living in the U.S. say they have their own plans. Vitaly Ataev-Troshin, a Russian living in California, is working to organize boycotts and protests outside planned polling places on March 18, aimed at calling attention to what they say is a rigged vote. He’s already had some success with early voting: a Sheraton Hotel in Los Angeles rejected a request by Russian diplomats to host a polling place. Another activist in Washington, Dmitry Valuev, said activists are planning to march outside the Russian Embassy and the three other consulates in the United States.
A Russian Embassy spokesman, meanwhile, told the newspaper Nezavisimaya Gazeta that such acts were depriving Russian citizens of their constitutional right to vote.
- By Mike Eckel
'Our Problem Is 2024'
Putin is widely expected to win next month’s election, giving him another six years to lead Russia from the Kremlin. But what happens next?
The Russian Constitution currently limits the president to two six-year terms, meaning Putin would have to leave office in 2024.
In 2018 Election Is No Problem For Putin -- But What About 2024?, Guardian Moscow correspondent Shaun Walker dives into questions about what might come next, and whether the Kremlin might have something up its sleeve that would cement Putin as the country’s paramount leader, possibly without making a mockery of the constitution.
“I don’t think Putin has made a decision yet about what he will do in 2024,” said one source close to the Kremlin. “He always likes to postpone a decision if it can be made tomorrow rather than today.”
Walker concludes:
Worried supporters of Putin also have their eye on the long-term. “Our problem is not 2018, our problem is 2024,” said Konstantin Malofeyev, a financier with Kremlin connections. He has backed an organisation calling for a return to the monarchy and hinted that Putin could fill the role of a new tsar – a solution few expect to transpire but which illustrates the lack of current alternatives.
“We can see elections are pointless, like showbusiness. We will support Putin fully in these elections and we hope they will be the last elections we have,” he said, during a roundtable meeting with journalists at his Moscow office in December.