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Russia 2018: Kremlin Countdown

Updated

A tip sheet on Russia's March 18 presidential election delivering RFE/RL and Current Time TV news, videos, and analysis along with links to what our Russia team is watching. Compiled by RFE/RL correspondents and editors.

State Pollsters Say...

The latest state polls suggest Putin's support has risen to 71.4 percent, up slightly from the week before. Grudinin remains in second, but his rating has fallen from 7.2 to 6.9 percent. Then in third comes nationalist warhorse Zhirinovsky, who has also fallen slightly from 5.9 to 5.7 percent.

Grudinin Dividing The Left?

The KPRF Communist Party may have finally produced a new face by nominating Pavel Grudinin for the elections, but has his nomination sparked tensions in the left?

The Institute of Globalization and Social Movements predicts Grudinin will take second place after Putin at the polls but says his candidacy has sent the political left into disarray. He was meant to be a consolidating figure, it notes, but groups such as Left Bloc and Workers Russia have turned against him.

What's more, the nucleus of the KPRF electorate (who usually voted for Gennady Zyuganov in the past) is said to feel alienated by Grudinin's nomination.

Boris Titov's Strange Campaign

The presidential candidacy of Boris Titov, the Kremlin's commissioner for entrepreneurs' rights, is widely viewed as yet another fake contender designed to give the race an aura of competitiveness. The Spectator has a piece profiling Titov and looking at his candidacy.

And in her column for Republic.ru, political analyst Tatiana Stanovaya takes a skeptical look at a proposal Titov recently floated to encourage exiled businessmen to return to Russia in exchange for amnesty.

Candidate List Reflects 'Popular Demand But Not...Entirely Adequate'

Political scientist Golosov assesses the combination of candidates on offer:

"The list of presidential candidates was formed on the basis of public-opinion polls. That is, so that there would be a communist, democrats, and so on. Of course, there had to be Vladimir Zhirinovsky, who is difficult to define ideologically, but who evokes sympathy personally from his supporters. In this sense, the list of candidates is completely representative. It is a different matter that the communist is not really a communist and the democrats are not entirely democrats (some of them aren't democrats at all), and that even Zhirinovsky has always been notorious for the artificiality of much of his behavior. So the list reflects some type of popular demand -- but not in an entirely adequate way."

Pskov Communists Claim Police Raid On Grudinin Offices

The Communist Party branch in the northwest region of Pskov says police raided the local headquarters of the party’s presidential candidate, Pavel Grudinin.

The party said eight officers notified campaign workers that they were responding to complaints that there were banned copies of a newspaper or leaflet. According to a statement posted on the local party’s page on the social network VK, "it’s worth nothing that the law enforcement officers were particularly interested in a caricature...."

No banned leaflets were found, the party said.

Opposition leader Aleksei Navalny, who has called on Russians to boycott the election after he was barred from running, has said the ballot is further proof the election is rigged in favor of incumbent Putin.

Putin's name is smack-dab in the middle of the sheet, accompanied by the briefest biography/description of all the candidates, setting him apart.

'Crimea Is Fundamental' For Putin

Aleksei Venediktov, chief editor of independent radio station Echo Moskvy, says he believes Kommersant was right when it reported (see below note, February 7) that Putin may cast his vote in the Crimean city of Sevastopol.

"I believe this actually is the case, because it seems to me that what is important for Putin is not the count in Moscow, St. Petersburg, Lipetsk, or Chechnya, but the count in Crimea and in Sevastopol," Venediktov said. "In fact, for him, this is a second referendum [after the disputed 2014 referendum in occupied Crimea]. The question is not about the center [of Russia], the question is: How many of those 2 million" -- a reference to the number of voters there -- "will come, and will more cast their vote than in 2014 during its accession [annexation] to Russia, or will there be fewer and by how much? For him, this is fundamental. Crimea is fundamental for him."

Does any particular candidate stand out...

...on Vedomosti's first glimpse at the ballot?

An amusing faces of Putin mashup.

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