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China In Eurasia

A Uyghur woman holds her baby in a night market in Hotan, in China's western Xinjiang region. (file photo)
A Uyghur woman holds her baby in a night market in Hotan, in China's western Xinjiang region. (file photo)

In 1997, the government of Pakistan deported 14 Uyghurs accused by Beijing of being terrorists plotting to split Xinjiang, China's heavily Muslim western province, away from the rest of the country. Upon being driven across Pakistan's eastern border with China, they were summarily executed.

That case represents the first documented episode of Uyghurs being extradited at China's request, "marking a watershed in the evolution of Chinese transnational repression," according to the China's Transnational Repression of Uyghurs Dataset, a new database and report that was launched on June 24. It examines 1,546 cases of detention and deportation across 28 countries, from the 1997 incident until March 2021.

The data set, which is a joint initiative by the Oxus Society for Central Asian Affairs and the Uyghur Human Rights Project, shows how China's campaign against the Uyghurs has gone global, rapidly expanding from Central and South Asia to include Europe, the Middle East, and Southeast Asia.

The report, which claims to be the most complete account of China's international campaign, documents how governments -- predominantly from Muslim-majority countries across the Middle East and Asia -- have cooperated with Beijing to surveil, detain, and repatriate Uyghurs and other Muslim minorities from China who have fled Xinjiang.

Police officers patrol in the old city in Kashgar, in China's Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region.
Police officers patrol in the old city in Kashgar, in China's Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region.

"There has been a lot of criticism against Muslim majority countries for their silence on Xinjiang and the repression of the Uyghurs," Bradley Jardine, the director of research at the Oxus Society for Central Asian Affairs and the report's lead author, told RFE/RL. "But this database shows that it isn't just hypocrisy from the Islamic world, it's active collaboration with China."

United Nations human rights officials estimate that 1 million or more Uyghurs, Kazakhs, and other Muslim minorities are detained at camps in a vast Chinese internment system. Many former detainees allege they were subjected to attempted indoctrination, physical abuse, and even sterilization.

The United States government and several Western parliaments have labeled China's actions in Xinjiang as genocide, but most governments of majority Muslim states -- who increasingly have close financial and political ties to Beijing through China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) -- have remained silent on the issue.

According to the report, efforts to target Uyghurs and force them back to China have intensified since 2017, when Beijing is believed to have begun its mass internment program in Xinjiang.

"Through these practices, the government of China is able to extend its repression and control over the Uyghur people across sovereign boundaries," the report says.

A Domestic Campaign Goes Global

China's government initially denied the Xinjiang camps' existence, but has since been on a diplomatic and public-relations campaign to counter the growing outcry against what Beijing has termed "vocational-education centers" by defending them as necessary to combat Islamic extremism.

Concerns over terrorism have been at the heart of official Chinese reasoning for targeting Uyghurs abroad that employs an evolving array of tactics, the report notes, from espionage and cyberattacks to issuing Red Notices via Interpol, an organization designed to coordinate global policing activities.

Ethnic Uyghurs and Han Chinese at a market in Urumqi in the Xinjiang region.
Ethnic Uyghurs and Han Chinese at a market in Urumqi in the Xinjiang region.

While Chinese authorities have long viewed the Uyghur community with suspicion, and radical Uyghur separatist groups have carried out attacks, the report argues that the 2009 ethnic riots in Urumqi, the capital of Xinjiang, were a turning point for Beijing.

The riots claimed 200 lives, most of them ethnic Hans, and attacks by extremist Uyghur groups escalated the security situation in Xinjiang in the following years.

The unrest led to swift retaliation by Beijing in the name of fighting extremism, and according to Jardine, who is also a fellow at the Wilson Center's Kissinger Institute on China and the United States, this led to large outflows of Uyghurs from China who sought asylum and refugee status in countries around the world.

"This forced China to have a more global outlook, whereas before it was regionally focused on neighboring areas like Central Asia and Pakistan," he said.

The data set highlights three phases in China's evolving efforts against Uyghurs abroad.

The first phase was predominantly focused on neighboring areas with Uyghur diasporas in Central and South Asia, with 89 Uyghurs detained or sent to China from 1997 to 2007. The second phase, from 2008 to 2013, expanded to 15 countries and targeted 130 individuals. The third phase, from 2014 to March, saw a major escalation, with 1,327 people detained or extradited from 20 countries.

The data highlight a focus on Muslim-majority countries, with 647 of the cases in the report taking place in the Middle East and North Africa and 665 cases occurring in South Asia. Eleven hundred and fifty-one of the cases recorded involved Uyghurs being detained in their host country, while 395 were deportations or extraditions back to China.

"These numbers are just a drop in the bucket," Jardine said. "We are limited to people that have come forward, but there are far more unreported cases that we just don’t know about."

A Spotlight On The Muslim World

Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan recently made headlines when he declined to acknowledge or condemn the Chinese government's alleged human rights abuses in Xinjiang during a June 20 interview with the U.S. news outlet Axios.

Islamabad and Beijing maintain strong ties, and the multibillion-dollar China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) remains a flagship project within China's BRI.

But the database highlights how Pakistan's cooperation with China on Uyghurs is decades old and predates Beijing's increased investment and economic push across Eurasia.

Foreign journalists take photos and video outside a location in China's Xinjiang region that was identified in early 2020 as a reeducation facility but which the Chinese government asserts is currently home to a veterans' affairs bureau and other government offices.
Foreign journalists take photos and video outside a location in China's Xinjiang region that was identified in early 2020 as a reeducation facility but which the Chinese government asserts is currently home to a veterans' affairs bureau and other government offices.

"While there is no evidence of an official agreement to monitor Uyghur activities, Pakistan's activities in the late 1990s hint that an agreement had likely been reached, formally or otherwise," the report says.

Similarly, lawyers for Uyghur groups have submitted new evidence to the International Criminal Court (ICC)'s Office of the Prosecutor showing the government in Tajikistan has been cooperating with Beijing to send Uyghurs back to China.

Locked Up In China: The Plight Of Xinjiang's Muslims

Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty is partnering with its sister organization, Radio Free Asia, to highlight the plight of Muslims living in China's western province of Xinjiang.

Their complaint also accuses Tajik authorities of helping to facilitate the extraordinary rendition of Uyghurs from Turkey back to China.

Turkey remains a crucial location for the broader Uyghur community. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has welcomed Uyghurs to Turkey for many years, with an estimated 40,000 Uyghurs living in that country of around 82 million.

Erdogan has been critical of China's heavy-handed policies in Xinjiang, but more recently has tempered his remarks as Ankara has become closer economically with China.

In December 2020, Beijing ratified a 2017 extradition treaty between the two countries. But the Turkish parliament has yet to follow suit, leaving Uyghurs fearful that the looming decision could see many of them sent back to China at Beijing's request.

"Turkey was once seen as a safe haven, but no more," Jardine said. "The West now needs to start looking at expanding its refugee quotas and facilitating Uyghur claims from Turkey and other countries that are complicit in China's transnational repression."

Chinese Prime Minister Li Keqiang (right) greets Montenegro' then-Prime Minister Milo Djukanovic during their meeting n Beijing in 2015.
Chinese Prime Minister Li Keqiang (right) greets Montenegro' then-Prime Minister Milo Djukanovic during their meeting n Beijing in 2015.

PODGORICA -- A European financial institution is prepared to help refinance Montenegro's $1 billion debt to China, which the Balkan country incurred over a controversial highway project.

Montenegrin Finance Minister Milojko Spajic said the low-interest credit from the financial institution will allow the cash-strapped government make savings and cut interest rates. He also told a session of the parliamentary Finance and Budget Committee on June 17 that a nondisclosure agreement prevented him from revealing the lender, but that talks were "in the final phase."

A European Union source told RFE/RL that an agreement on providing credit is in the process of being finalized and, once finished, will be signed by European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen.

A refinancing agreement could bring an end to the ongoing uncertainty over Montenegro's debt with China and its relations with the EU.

The long-delayed and still-incomplete highway -- for which the loan was given -- and the small Balkan nation's debt to the Export-Import Bank of China are at the heart of a heated debate on Chinese influence in Europe.

China's presence in the Balkans looms large and has increased in recent years, with the country investing billions into the region and raising concerns about financial dependence on Beijing that could complicate the EU's eastward expansion and Montenegro's hopes of joining the bloc.

Stefan Vladisavljev, an analyst at the Belgrade Fund for Political Excellence, told RFE/RL that refinancing Montenegro's debt will help counter China's growing influence in the Balkans.

"Montenegro is more important to the EU than it is to Beijing," Vladisavljev said. "This [credit] is a common-sense step for Brussels."

But he said the EU "missed an opportunity" by stepping up to help Podgorica stabilize its finances only after Montenegrin officials repeatedly asked for assistance to manage the country's debt.

"The response should be more decisive," Vladisavljev said. "Still, it is a good thing that the EU is looking for a potential mechanism to assist Montenegro, and it should help improve the bloc's image [in the Balkans]."

The Highway Debt

Montenegro borrowed $1 billion from China in 2014 to fund the first portion of a 163-kilometer motorway to neighboring Serbia. The project itself is divided into three sections, with the Chinese loan only covering the first 41 kilometers.

The first section of the highway was originally due for completion in 2019, but construction delays and the COVID-19 pandemic have pushed the deadline back to November 30.

A section of the new highway connecting Montenegro's Adriatic coast to landlocked neighbor Serbia.
A section of the new highway connecting Montenegro's Adriatic coast to landlocked neighbor Serbia.

Despite failing several feasibility studies, the project received the green light from then-Prime Minister Milo Djukanovic's government, who took out the massive Chinese loan to fund the highway.

Djukanovic is now Montenegro's president and the current government -- which was narrowly voted into power in December -- is made up of opposition parties that mostly opposed the highway project and have since searched for a financial solution to the mounting debt.

Deputy Prime Minister Dritan Abazovic first publicly raised concerns about the country's debt obligations in March, when he told Montenegrin lawmakers that the EU should help pay off the loan to protect the country from becoming dependent on China.

The EU, however, declined to directly help with the loan, but Reuters reported on June 11 that Brussels was looking to rely on some combination of Germany's Reconstruction Credit Bank, the French Development Agency, and Italy's CDP investment bank to provide financial aid and help Montenegro with refinancing.

Montenegro's government -- a fractious coalition that holds a thin margin in parliament -- is currently juggling a host of political and economic issues while attempting to stabilize its finances.

Montenegrin Deputy Prime Minister Dritan Abazovic (left) meets with EU foreign affairs chief Josep Borrell in Brussels earlier this year.
Montenegrin Deputy Prime Minister Dritan Abazovic (left) meets with EU foreign affairs chief Josep Borrell in Brussels earlier this year.

The tourism-dependent country's economy contracted by 15.2 percent in 2020, according to the International Monetary Fund, due to restrictions on travel caused by the coronavirus pandemic. But current forecasts show Montenegro's economy could grow by 9 percent in 2021.

China holds approximately one-quarter of Montenegro's total debt, which reached 103 percent of GDP last year.

Beijing agreed to defer repayment of Montenegro's first tranche of the loan, which was originally due in July, but has now been pushed back to late 2022.

China And The EU

Finding a solution to Montenegro's economic problems is a test for Brussels's standing in the Balkans and the EU's willingness to counter China's deepening footprint on its periphery, analysts say.

"There is no doubt that China is the main factor guiding the EU's decision making," Vuk Vuksanovic, a researcher at the Belgrade Center for Security Policy, told RFE/RL. "Montenegro can be an easy but very big geopolitical [win] for China in the region. The damage to the EU's interests in the region will be irreparable if it does not step up."

Montenegro, which became an independent country again when it broke away from Serbia in 2006, joined NATO in 2017 and is working to get the green light to join the EU.

Like many countries in the region, it also has strong ties to Russia and has increasingly looked to China -- under the guise of Beijing's Belt and Road Initiative -- for investment and to build infrastructure in the last decade.

Vuksanovic says EU credibility in the region will hinge on how Brussels continues to assist its small neighbor in the Balkans.

"It gives the Montenegrin government more breathing space and better maneuverability in dealing with debt towards China," he said.

"Although, China is not entirely the loser here. Let's not forget that it will be paid in the end."

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In recent years, it has become impossible to tell the biggest stories shaping Eurasia without considering China’s resurgent influence in local business, politics, security, and culture.

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